Comparative climatology of outer tropical cyclone size using radial windprofiles

Published in Weather and Climate Extremes, 2021

Recommended citation: Pérez-Alarcón, A.; Sorí, R.; Fernández-Alvarez, J.C.; Nieto, R.; Gimeno, L. (2021). Comparative climatology of outer tropical cyclone size using radial wind profiles. Weather and Climate Extremes, 33, 100366, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.wace.2021.100366

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Abstract

In this study was performed a comparative climatology of outer tropical cyclone (TCs) size usingradial wind profiles. A wind speed of 2𝑚/𝑠 (∼4 kt) was taken as the threshold to define theTC size. The method proposed by Willoughby et al. (2006) (W06) to determine the wind profileshowed the least variance and the smallest coefficient of variation of all profiles. W06 correctlydescribed the radial wind structure of storms such as Hurricane Irma (2017) and Cyclone Giri(2010), compared with the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts ERA-5 re-analysis data. Thus, W06 was used to develop the climatological TC size (TCSize) database. Itwas found that the tropical cyclones are largest when the maximum wind speed ranges between 20 and 40 𝑚/𝑠 and they most frequently reach a size between 700 and 800𝑘𝑚. The TCs exhibit their maximum size when they are in extratropical latitudes, while the smallest are observed inthe low latitudes of both hemispheres. The global mean size is 748.7 km with a 95% confidence interval of [748.2,749.2] 𝑘𝑚. Median storm size is largest in the North Atlantic basin and smallest in the North Indian Ocean. The method proposed here is designed to be an objective metricthat can be quickly applied to any TC when its position, maximum wind speed, and minimumcentral pressure are known. As a result, a TCSize database was created for all ocean basins,which could be useful for many applications, including different risk analyses

Keywords: tropical cyclone size; radial wind profiles; tropical cyclones database; tropical cyclones climatology